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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 606 (Milton), US Major: 606 (Milton), FL Any: 606 (Milton), FL Major: 606 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA

Wassup Guru Colleen?
Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM

I think that is a function of the fact that she's likely to pass nearer to Key West than any other American Point in the next day or so. Look at the A, B, C, D columns. Key West is 9% during "A" and 8% "B" (8am Tues to 8pm Tues) and 1% C. They added them all up and came up with 18%. New Iberia at 13% is the current highest probability in "D" (8am Wed to 8am Thurs). New Iberia is my landfall call within 60 miles. The reason I think Buras went down is that it's now evident to the TPC that Lili is going to pass south of her - possibly by as much as 125 miles. In no way IMHO is the threat to FL increasing with time - certainly not the peninsula. You guys should get off without even any feeder bands except possibly extreme SW FL might get clipped with a brief squall.

And you should know this: The main threat to Florida this year is from Paloma! Paloma is coming, and he/she's coming to get us all!

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	CFHC	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	dennis	Mon Sep 30 2002 04:09 PM
Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	Brad in Miami	Mon Sep 30 2002 04:16 PM
Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	dennis	Mon Sep 30 2002 04:03 PM
Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	Brad in Miami	Mon Sep 30 2002 04:08 PM
Couple of Site Fixes	MikeC	Mon Sep 30 2002 02:34 PM
Re: Lili Now a Hurricane Gulf must Watch	MikeB	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:50 PM
Predictions	Brett	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:11 PM
Re: Predictions	Steve H.	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:47 PM
Re: Lili Now A Hurricane.	Rich B	Mon Sep 30 2002 11:57 AM
Strike Possibilities.....	Colleen A.	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:43 PM
Wassup Guru Colleen?	Steve	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:57 PM
Silent	ShawnS	Mon Sep 30 2002 01:10 PM
Colleen.......HEY SHAWN	Frank P	Mon Sep 30 2002 12:53 PM
Hey Frank P..	Houstontracker	Mon Sep 30 2002 01:29 PM
Re: Hey Frank P..	scottsvb	Mon Sep 30 2002 01:51 PM
lili threatens, kyle toys	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 30 2002 02:39 PM
Re: Hey Frank P..	Frank P	Mon Sep 30 2002 01:45 PM
Some differences in the new runs...	Steve	Mon Sep 30 2002 02:45 PM
Re: Some differences in the new runs...	Stevenotloggedin	Mon Sep 30 2002 03:35 PM
Kyle	Brett	Mon Sep 30 2002 03:18 PM
New Iberia	jth	Mon Sep 30 2002 01:36 PM

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