Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Bay of Campeche area now being tracked as Invest 92L. 40% chance for development, likely to be a rain event, with most of it on the east.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 227 (Zeta) , Major: 290 (Laura) Florida - Any: 976 (Michael) Major: 976 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

CFHCAdministrator



Reged: Sun
Posts: 134
Loc: East Central Florida
Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today
      Wed Oct 02 2002 08:46 AM

11:00PM EDT Update:
Turning more to the NNW now. Storm is still 145, pressure is up a bit. Update tomorrow am.

8:00PM EDT Update:
8PM advisory confirms it has leveled off. Forward motion has it moving slightly faster. It appears slightly elongated so the northward curve will start soon. Central Louisana is the best bet for landfall at this time.

Others east and west of this area should be ready also.

More to come...

7:30PM EDT Update:
Lili still strong, but I think has leveled off. Landfall still looks to be western or Central Louisiana.

5PM EDT Update:
Evacations all across the warning areas.

Lili now at 140MPH winds.

Our site is feeling the load right now, along with network problems at the host. Sorry for the slowness.

3PM EDT Update:
Lili


Moving Northwest toward western Louisiana.
I hope your preperations are done and you are out of the evacuated areas. If not, quit looking at this screen and do what you must.

Apologies for the slowness. It is network troubles at our hosting site, it is being worked on.

2PM EDT Update:
Hurricane Lili now a category 4 system, with winds of 135MPH and a pressure of 941 millibars. Warnings remain the same. This type of storm is capable of a 10-15 foot storm surge.

11am EDT Update:

From the hurricane center:

STOP THE PRESSES...THE LATEST FIX FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER... RECEIVED JUST AFTER THE REST OF THE ADVISORY PACKAGE WAS TRANSMITTED...INDICATES THE PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 948 MB. SHOULD THIS BURST OF INTENSIFICATION CONTINUE...THE INITIAL AND
FORECAST INTENSITIES WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE REVISED UPWARD ON THE NEXT PACKAGE.




Lili now a CAT 3 Hurricane with 120mph winds (and probably stronger with the hurrcane center's last minute comment) / 948 mb moving NW at 15

Original Post
The space shuttle is grounded today (launch was scheduled for today) over fears that the storm may interrupt mission control operations in the Johnson Space Center in Houston, for one good reason.

Hurricane Lili is a strong category 2 storm this morning. Some voluntary evacuations have been issued along the Louisiana coastline, and I'd recommend anyone in the hurricane watch/warning area prepare for the storm. I believe it will strengthen later today into a 3, and possibly close in on a high 3 low 4 before making landfall midday tomorrow.

Today is the day to prepare folks, and to make decisions. Go by how your area is and by what local authorities and news media pass along. The string of 3 years without a hurricane landfall in the US is about to end with a major making landfall.

Updates to the news will be coming as the situation warrants. Posts letting everyone know what's going on in the affected areas are welcome, but please make sure you are safe.

Beaumont TX TV: KFDM

New orleans TV: 6 4

Baton Rouge: wbrz 2



Kyle has restrengthened once again, and amazingly is still up in the air as to what it may eventually do. "We're still on ya Kyle, don't try to sneak in on us."

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City Weather Audio Broadcast Network - Live Audio from Jim Williams and Barometer Bob , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Ed Dunham and Jason M in our Storm Forum Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]

Edited by MikeC (Wed Oct 02 2002 10:46 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today CFHCAdministrator Wed Oct 02 2002 08:46 AM
. * * DYNO GEL Cocoa Beach   Thu Oct 03 2002 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dav   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dav   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:26 PM
. * * dav joepub1   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dav   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:12 PM
. * * n or nw? LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today Floridacane   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dennis   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dav   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today bobby   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today Dan   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:57 PM
. * * Lili has peaked? recmod   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Lili has peaked? Kevin   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Lili has peaked? rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:21 PM
. * * Revised landfall Bill   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:24 PM
. * * Moving more to the north Bill   Wed Oct 02 2002 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today BabyCat at work   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:23 PM
. * * Slowing down, turning north? Bill   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Slowing down, turning north? Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:48 PM
. * * LOL Bill... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:25 PM
. * * Re: LOL Bill... jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:33 PM
. * * Re: LOL Bill... FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:34 PM
. * * quick q Brett   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:40 PM
. * * Re: quick q FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:51 PM
. * * CAT 4!! FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:12 PM
. * * dropping like a rock HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:38 PM
. * * Reality check Bill   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Reality check cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Reality check cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:39 PM
. * * Maybe a good call to hang my season on? Steve-unplugged   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:49 PM
. * * I don't know folks Brett   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:56 PM
. * * hmm.. HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:23 PM
. * * Re: hmm.. joepub1   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:04 PM
. * * my take on things rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:01 PM
. * * Re: My Thoughts Michael Shade   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:16 PM
. * * Re: hmm.. LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:55 PM
. * * Re: hmm.. Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:51 PM
. * * snide comments HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:07 PM
. * * Re: snide comments Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:15 PM
. * * Re: snide comments Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:21 PM
. * * Re: snide comments DopplerGal   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:33 PM
. * * outflow direction rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:11 PM
. * * Re: outflow direction BillD   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:41 PM
. * * New Orleans is gonna take it on the chin. rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:45 PM
. * * Update from the City... Steveunplugged   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... BillD   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... Justin in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... KYLE   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... anon(ShawnS)   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... Justin in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... Carl   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... anon(ShawnS)   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:33 PM
. * * North turn... wxman007   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:02 PM
. * * Re: North turn... Rick   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:26 PM
. * * Re: North turn... Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:25 PM
. * * Re: North turn... joepub1   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:48 PM
. * * cat 5 rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:54 PM
. * * Re: cat 5 Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:04 PM
. * * Re: North turn... rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:33 PM
. * * Thanks a lot Big JK... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:23 PM
. * * Internet Feeds? Justin in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:36 PM
. * * the jog/admission HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:18 PM
. * * Re: the jog/admission DopplerGal   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:25 PM
. * * get a grip hankfrank rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:25 PM
. * * Re: get a grip hankfrank Kimster   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:05 PM
. * * Re: get a grip hankfrank troy2   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:26 PM
. * * Louisiana BabyCat   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:36 PM
. * * From the 10pm discussion... wxman007   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:30 PM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion...cat 5? Bill   Thu Oct 03 2002 01:11 AM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion... Kimster   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:34 AM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion... troy2   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:38 AM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion... Kimster   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:46 AM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion... LoisCane   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:12 AM
. * * Hey Clyde... Steve   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Hey Clyde... Kimster   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Hey Clyde... Frank P   Thu Oct 03 2002 01:09 AM
. * * moving at 18mph now troy2   Thu Oct 03 2002 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Gusts Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:48 PM
. * * Re: From the 10pm discussion... clyde w.   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:40 PM
. * * Kimster rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Kimster Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:24 PM
. * * Track bending eastward? Londovir   Thu Oct 03 2002 01:43 AM
. * * much weaker HanKFranK   Thu Oct 03 2002 02:34 AM
. * * Still have power... Steve   Thu Oct 03 2002 03:32 AM
. * * WEAKENING WXMAN RICHIE   Thu Oct 03 2002 04:57 AM
. * * Re: WEAKENING Steve   Thu Oct 03 2002 05:01 AM
. * * My prediction... Londovir   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Kimster Dr. Gray   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:44 PM
. * * Dr. Gray wannabe Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray wannabe Londovir   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray wannabe troy2   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Dr. Gray wannabe BabyCat   Thu Oct 03 2002 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Kimster Rick   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:48 PM
. * * estimated fix at 0015Z Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:52 PM
. * * Re: estimated fix at 0015Z Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:55 PM
. * * if it turns north within 4-5 hours rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:02 PM
. * * Re: if it turns north within 4-5 hours Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:06 PM
. * * NHC rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:09 PM
. * * Re: NHC Rick   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:27 PM
. * * getting weird... Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:46 PM
. * * Re: getting weird... joepub1   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:20 PM
. * * Re: getting weird... Londovir   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:26 PM
. * * the red stick rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:30 PM
. * * Re: the red stick clyde w.   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:40 PM
. * * official track NNW rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:45 PM
. * * NNW WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:44 PM
. * * Re: NNW Londovir   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:47 PM
. * * Re: NNW Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:59 PM
. * * will move north soon rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:51 PM
. * * Re: landovir BabyCat   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:58 PM
. * * Hey clyde.. Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:02 PM
. * * Avery Island clyde w.   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:24 PM
. * * Re: landovir bsnyder   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:00 PM
. * * no hurricane warning in New Orleans rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:55 PM
. * * Re: bsnyder   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:50 PM
. * * Re: joepub1   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:56 PM
. * * LANDFALL WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:55 PM
. * * Re: LANDFALL Kimmie at home   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:01 PM
. * * Re: the red stick BabyCat   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:43 PM
. * * Re: getting weird... Justin in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:00 PM
. * * eyewall collapsing...and now rebuilding? rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:42 PM
. * * Re: NHC BillD   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:41 PM
. * * Re: NHC Rick   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:00 PM
. * * Re: NHC BillD   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:16 PM
. * * The Statement.... wxman007   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:07 PM
. * * Re: The Statement.... Rick   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:15 PM
. * * Raceland... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Raceland... LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:20 PM
. * * Hurric and mistake I made in post earlier LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:32 PM
. * * Taking a deep breath Domino   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:47 PM
. * * Comment on Storm Surge LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Raceland... MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:16 PM
. * * Thanks MikeC... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:19 PM
. * * Re: estimated fix at 0015Z tom5r   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:02 PM
. * * Re: estimated fix at 0015Z Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:09 PM
. * * Re: estimated fix at 0015Z tom5r   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:24 PM
. * * Re: North turn... MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:09 PM
. * * Re: North turn... wxman007   Wed Oct 02 2002 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Update from the City... Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:30 PM
. * * Hey, I see wher Katz was getting his information Steveunplugged   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:33 PM
. * * nnw...soon n...then nne.... rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:20 PM
. * * Re: nnw...soon n...then nne.... turkeyman   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:40 PM
. * * Re: outflow direction Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:17 PM
. * * Re: outflow direction anon(ShawnS)   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:15 PM
. * * How strong is Lili? Justin in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 07:28 PM
. * * Re: I don't know folks cappycat   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:06 PM
. * * Re: I don't know folks tom5r   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:05 PM
. * * Re: I don't know folks Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:09 PM
. * * SC LA is the prime target jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 04:54 PM
. * * Re: SC LA is the prime target kyle   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:12 PM
. * * Unlucky # 13 WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Oct 02 2002 05:21 PM
. * * 5 PM WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Oct 02 2002 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Reality check mbfly   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Reality check J.J.   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Bill   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Reality check LoisCane   Wed Oct 02 2002 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Reality check Rick in Mobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:24 PM
. * * axis of clouds Rickinmobile   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:45 PM
. * * Re: dropping like a rock tom5r   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:56 PM
. * * Re: dropping like a rock Domino   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:53 PM
. * * Actually... Brett   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:47 PM
. * * Re: CAT 4!! Kevin   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:35 PM
. * * Re: CAT 4!! PFSThunder   Wed Oct 02 2002 03:22 PM
. * * Re: CAT 4!! chrisinSC   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:32 PM
. * * Re: CAT 4!! tom5r   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:32 PM
. * * Run to the hills! Rasvar   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Run to the hills! FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 02:36 PM
. * * Re: quick q BabyCat at work   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:43 PM
. * * NNW Movement jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:51 PM
. * * Re: LOL Bill... Mary K.   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:50 PM
. * * Depends on where they are... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:54 PM
. * * Bastardi's noon update totally disagrees with TPC... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:00 PM
. * * Just watched Bastardi's TU from this morning... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:06 PM
. * * pressure drop jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 01:20 PM
. * * Wow Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:26 AM
. * * Rain! Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Rain! Bruce   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Rain! OrlandoDude2   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:03 PM
. * * I'm not really sure... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:02 PM
. * * Re: I'm not really sure... Kimmie at work   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:51 PM
. * * NASA and Texas Air Guard Houstontracker   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:44 AM
. * * storm of the century (Decade?) HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:40 AM
. * * Storm of the century .... sure Frank P   Wed Oct 02 2002 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today BabyCat at work   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today Toni   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:06 AM
. * * yikes Brett   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Upper Texas. Louisiana Prepare Today dav   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:18 AM
. * * Louisiana Prepare Today jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:32 AM
. * * get this... HanKFranK   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:47 AM
. * * Latest Recon Fix Sonic   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Latest Recon Fix jth   Wed Oct 02 2002 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Latest Recon Fix Brad in Miami   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:04 AM
. * * Yeah I saw that Brad... Steve   Wed Oct 02 2002 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Louisiana Prepare Today Southern4sure   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Louisiana Prepare Today FlaRebel   Wed Oct 02 2002 09:36 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 11 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: ****
Thread views: 160287

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center