Looks like we have a tropical depression already for 98L. The NHC indicates a 1006 mb low and there is heavy convection firing around the center - just probably waiting for a plane to confirm it. This looks like it has the potential to be a huge storm with low shear and mid-80s SSTs in the western Carribean. Global models generally drfit it W-NW for the next 4-5 days - hope we don't get another "Mitch" explosion with likely to be Wilma. Certainly bears watching especially for west coast of FL residents since climatology would track the system N-NE into the eastern GOM. However, if High Pressure remains strong over the SE states, it could be a central america threat too. Just have to wait & see - looks like we'll at least tie 1933 with 21 named storms for the most ever this never-ending year.
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