Quote: Dr. Steve Lyons at 4:00 PM had this storm over the peninsula of Mexico for an amazing 36 hours and all but reaching south Florida as a cat 1 at best.
and so did the NHC.
Weather changes constantly, and they give their best report of what they see at that time, which is why the reports update several times a day.
PS - the NHC called the East Texas landfall at 10AM CDT Thursday the 22nd....1 1/2 days before landfall. link
but they called a "Houston area" landfall a few 5 days head of time. link 2
but of course, you're focusing on the cone and not the line......right????