Um...estimate of RMW has been shrinking all day, and now it appears on the enhanced IR image that the storm is about to slough off some convection to the ESE and consolidate the convection a little more, become a little more compact. Also the brightness on the CDO in the IR is more symmetrical than yesterday and more intense. Looks like that T number is right on (note that it maxed out the scale!), and it will be interesting to see what JTWC puts out in advisory 15 for the max sust winds (anyone want to hazard a guess?...165?).
Also not certain on this but it apears that it did move out over the water a little rather than curve in towards land. Also continuing during the past hours to move into an area of lower shear. The 1km zoomed (GEO) sure looks just as good today as it did yesterday. Waiting on the next highres MODIS image.
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Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica
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