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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 274 (Idalia) , Major: 274 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 274 (Idalia) Major: 274 (Idalia)
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Is Mala A Cyclone?
      Fri Apr 28 2006 03:07 AM

It looks like Mala is really coming together very quickly. It looks from the vis, IR, and water vapor images that she could be bombing. The latest microwave image showed a complete ring of convection around the eye but still some spiral bands. On the visual the CDO has that flat white dappled look. The eye seems wider and more well-formed on the visual than the IR.

The CIMSS AODT estimate seems on the low side (4.8 with Vmax of 85kts).

I still don't understand the JTWC intensity forecast with #8. With the next warning will they have to go back up on the intensity forecast to close to what they had with #7?

Trying to figure out what they're seeing to limit intensity increase -- dry air from the NW?

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Is Mala A Cyclone? Bloodstar Fri Apr 28 2006 03:07 AM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone? Margie   Thu Apr 27 2006 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone? Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 03:07 AM
. * * Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Bloodstar   Fri Apr 28 2006 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Sat Apr 29 2006 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What danielwAdministrator   Tue May 02 2006 04:52 AM

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