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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Clark
Meteorologist

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Posts: 1710

Re: Hurricane trends
Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM

Let me add another caveat here: while this covers the years from 1970-2005, it does not fully explain what we have seen over the past 10 years. Even within the three ENSO phase composites, the numbers do increase for years over the past ten years. Thus, for a complete analysis, the trend and/or the averages need to be removed from the data before even compositing the seasons. This is to ensure that the statistics are valid between each of the composites and to hopefully ensure that the results have some physical merit.

So, ultimately, what this "study" shows you is perhaps a part of why we've seen so much activity -- though most of it would be expected anyway from what we know about ENSO cycles. How much of that is tied into the uptick in the past ten years remains up for debate, however. Truthfully, were it not for 1995, 2004, and 2005 -- three years out of 10 -- not a whole lot would seem out of place. Just my two cents, though.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane trends	Clark	Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM
Re: Hurricane trends	Clark	Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM
Re: Hurricane trends	HanKFranK	Thu Jun 15 2006 11:51 AM
Re: Hurricane trends	longtime-lurker	Thu Jun 15 2006 02:19 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Clark	Thu Jun 15 2006 12:59 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Margie	Thu Jun 15 2006 06:05 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Clark	Thu Jun 15 2006 09:23 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Margie	Thu Jun 15 2006 10:30 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	LoisCane	Fri Jun 16 2006 12:01 AM
Re: Hurricane trends	Margie	Sat Jun 24 2006 12:00 PM
so youre comparing Chris Landsea and Associates to OJ?	LoisCane	Thu Jun 15 2006 06:25 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Kimberley Clark	Thu Jun 15 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	LoisCane	Wed Jun 14 2006 10:38 PM
Re: Hurricane trends	Nateball	Wed Jun 14 2006 10:49 PM

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