South Florida is getting a good stream of Tropical Mousture coming up from the Yucatan this week, and if it weren't for the shearing effect of the winds then something could form.
But it's not. June is still not a good month for storm development, and I doubt we will see a named storm this month. We'll be watching. But unless shear dies down over the Gulf and Caribbean, we won't see anything.
There is a weak surface low off the eastern part of the Yucatan, and a surface low trough along Florida and Cuba, but both of these are being effected by the general condition of the upper level winds.
On my development scale, where are these systems?
code:
forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET
Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.
- [mac]