From the afternoon HPC, there will be a low off the mid-Atlantic coast by late week. No mention of tropical, but the graphs show a system retrgogading to the coast. What does everyone make of this?
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...COLD FRONT ENTERS INTO THE GULF STREAM SOUTH OF THE CAROLINAS. ALL MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATE A CLOSED UPPER LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP...THOUGH THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE MAGNITUDE AND POSITION OF ITS DEEPENING. HENCE...TRENDED POPS UP FROM PREVIOUS FCST...THOUGH NOT AS HIGH AS HPC. THE CLOSER TO THE COAST THE LOW DEVELOPS...THE WETTER AND CLOUDIER IT WILL BE. IF THE LOW DEVELOPS JUST A LITTLE FURTHER OFFSHORE...WEATHER WILL FAIR AND WARMER...WITH NWLY FLOW AND SUBSIDENCE. MEANWHILE...GUIDANCE STILL HAS A STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH UPSTATE NY...AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE SET UP COULD BE SOME STRONG NELY WINDS SAT AND SUN (SEE MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW). TEMPS ALSO MORE CONTINGENT ON POSITION OF LOW...WITH AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED. AGAIN ONLY TRENDED TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS.
-------------------- Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!
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