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Archives 2000s >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Re: Nothing Much Going On...
      Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM

The long-range GFS isn't reliable in the least, particularly at time frames of 15-16 days as posted there. It's more for general climate patterns than anything; all models, including the GFS, have enough trouble predicting things right in one week, yet alone two.

Further, the system that it develops there is decidedly baroclinic/non-tropical. Note the orientation of the dashed contours, the thickness lines -- they are oriented as seen with warm and cold fronts throughout. The precipitation distribution is indicative of an extratropical cyclone as well. In other words -- nothing to get worked up about.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Nothing Much Going On... Hurricane29 Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Much Going On... Clark   Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Much Going On... SebaswLouis   Mon Oct 09 2006 08:33 PM

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