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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

vpbob21
Weather Guru

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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio

Re: Typhoon Cimaron poised to slam northern Luzon
Tue Oct 31 2006 10:28 AM

There has been a huge change in the forecast track of Cimaron. Earlier forecasts had the system getting under a ridge and moving west or even southwest and making landfall in Vietnam. Latest JTWC forecast has the storm recurving north and making landfall in China just west of Hong Kong in about 72 hours. Fortunately it is only expected to be a low end cat 1 storm when it gets there.

EDIT 8:30 PM - oops! another shift - newest JTWC forecast has Cimaron approaching within about 100 mi. of Hong Kong, then looping back west and southwest, staying just offshore. The models are really struggling with this one.

Edited by vpbob21 (Tue Oct 31 2006 08:40 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Typhoon Cimaron poised to slam northern Luzon	vpbob21	Tue Oct 31 2006 10:28 AM
Re: Typhoon Cimaron poised to slam northern Luzon	vpbob21	Tue Oct 31 2006 10:28 AM
Re: Typhoon Cimaron poised to slam northern Luzon	Ed Dunham	Sun Oct 29 2006 07:48 AM

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