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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 271 (Idalia) , Major: 271 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 271 (Idalia) Major: 271 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
gfs paranoia
      Wed May 02 2007 12:04 AM

for those of you who love to watch the gfs burp up phantom (and sometimes real) tropical systems, it's starting to want to squeeze a low up out of the western caribbean in the week 2 period. it looks halfway feasible synoptically, but of course everything in may is a real longshot. in a few days if the models are trying to do something there with some consistency, it might be time to start watching closely. there are usually a few false alarms before we get anything real, every year.
there hasn't been a named may system in 25 consecutive seasons, with arlene in 1981 being the last. that's actually a drought of sorts... during that time april has coughed up a tropical storm and a subtropical storm. every decade or two on average may will produce a storm, if the long-term record is to be believed.
HF 0059z02may

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The 2007 Season MikeCAdministrator Wed May 02 2007 12:04 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Mon May 07 2007 05:35 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch lightsgo   Mon May 07 2007 05:26 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch nc_wx_watcher   Mon May 07 2007 02:45 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Hurricane29   Mon May 07 2007 02:43 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 02:18 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Storm Hunter   Mon May 07 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch danielwAdministrator   Mon May 07 2007 01:46 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 06 2007 11:20 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch h2ocean   Sun May 06 2007 09:50 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch cieldumort   Sun May 06 2007 04:11 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Sun May 06 2007 05:16 AM
. * * hybrid watch HanKFranK   Sat May 05 2007 11:03 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Hurricane29   Sat May 05 2007 05:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low cieldumort   Sat May 05 2007 01:48 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season dem05   Sat May 05 2007 01:29 AM
. * * coastal cutoff low HanKFranK   Fri May 04 2007 10:10 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Fri May 04 2007 04:34 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri May 04 2007 03:30 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Thu May 03 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Thu May 03 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia ChessieStorm   Thu May 03 2007 01:43 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Wed May 02 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia NewWatcher   Wed May 02 2007 01:11 PM
. * * gfs paranoia HanKFranK   Wed May 02 2007 12:04 AM

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