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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

dem05
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Reged:
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL

Re: The 2007 Season
Fri May 04 2007 09:29 PM

On the six month hurricane and water temperature forecasts. I am not as concerned about the strength of the LaNina as I am concerned with the fact that there is NOT an ElNino (I refernce 2004 and 2005 just two examples). With respect to the water temperatures, I am MORE concerned that the Atlantic will be cooling and will not be as warm asthe Carribean later in the season. That means that more waves will have a chance to sneak past the Atlanticportionof the MDR instead of developing early and heading out to sea. In the mean time, if you revisit the forecast map, the temps in the Carribean and extreme southern GOMEX will be staying above average throughout the season. Of course, if this happens the math looks like this: More waves entering the Carribean, more waves/systems taking advantage of warmer temps closer to home, and even if the total season numbers are lower than forecast, we're gonna see more landfalls with this scenario.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The 2007 Season	MikeC	Fri May 04 2007 09:29 PM
Re: hybrid watch	scottsvb	Mon May 07 2007 01:35 AM
Re: hybrid watch	lightsgo	Mon May 07 2007 01:26 AM
Re: hybrid watch	Lamar-Plant City	Sun May 06 2007 11:00 PM
Re: hybrid watch	nc_wx_watcher	Sun May 06 2007 10:45 PM
Re: hybrid watch	Hurricane29	Sun May 06 2007 10:43 PM
Re: hybrid watch	Lamar-Plant City	Sun May 06 2007 10:18 PM
Re: hybrid watch	Storm Hunter	Sun May 06 2007 10:05 PM
Re: hybrid watch	danielw	Sun May 06 2007 09:46 PM
Re: hybrid watch	MikeC	Sun May 06 2007 07:20 PM
Re: hybrid watch	h2ocean	Sun May 06 2007 05:50 PM
Re: hybrid watch	cieldumort	Sun May 06 2007 12:11 PM
Re: hybrid watch	scottsvb	Sun May 06 2007 01:16 AM
hybrid watch	HanKFranK	Sat May 05 2007 07:03 PM
Re: coastal cutoff low	Hurricane29	Sat May 05 2007 01:20 PM
Re: coastal cutoff low	cieldumort	Fri May 04 2007 09:48 PM
Re: The 2007 Season	dem05	Fri May 04 2007 09:29 PM
coastal cutoff low	HanKFranK	Fri May 04 2007 06:10 PM
Re: The 2007 Season	Margie	Fri May 04 2007 12:34 PM
Re: The 2007 Season	Ed Dunham	Thu May 03 2007 11:30 PM
Re: The 2007 Season	Margie	Thu May 03 2007 02:53 PM
Re: gfs paranoia	Bloodstar	Thu May 03 2007 02:45 PM
Re: gfs paranoia	ChessieStorm	Thu May 03 2007 09:43 AM
Re: gfs paranoia	Bloodstar	Wed May 02 2007 02:17 PM
Re: gfs paranoia	NewWatcher	Wed May 02 2007 09:11 AM
gfs paranoia	HanKFranK	Tue May 01 2007 08:04 PM

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