Andrea is holding on to itself, convection in the northwestern side has died out much. The water temperature below the storm is not t really high enough to sustain tropical conversion (77F/25C), so it's likely to remain as is. It's not going to be moving much either,at least until Friday it seems. There is still a lot of dry air around the system as well.
The forecast is for it to gradually head toward Florida and dissipate. There is a lot of evidence to support this as well. Andrea will be a mostly dry, moderate wind event with a few showers coming off of it in short bands. Not enough to cause much drought/fire relief in Florida.
If it manages to hang on until the weekend, an approaching cold front and trough are set up to finish it off during the weekend.
10:58 Update Tropical Storm watches are now up from Altamaha sound in Georgia south to Flagler Beach, FL. Winds are at 45MPH, pressure 1003 mb.
Andrea is the first named storm in May since 1981s Arlene. And several weeks before the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Ana in 2003 was also a pre-season named storm in April.
Andrea is expected currently to move slowly southward, interestingly the NHC suggests that it may not make landfall as a named system and will likely dissipate over the next day or so.
This system is mostly a marine and wind event for the coast, which is not good for the fires. Rain, unfortunately, does not appear to be much of a factor with this system. We wil watch it, however.
Original Update Pre-Season subtropical storm Andrea has formed, advisories should begin at 11AM. ... Windspeeds are near 50MPH. Still rather disorganized.
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Subtropical Storm Andrea Forms off Florida/Georgia Coast
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