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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

Storm Cooper
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL

Re: My Updates on SW Caribbean disturbance from Weather Underground.
Tue May 29 2007 07:09 AM

The models are still "iffy" so to speak but some are persistent in some sort of development, the CMC won't give it up. It has caught the attention of local Mets and has been in the past few discussions from the WFO in Tallahassee. Here is a part of this mornings AFD...

MOST OF THE MID RANGE MODELS INSIST ON
BRINING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEWD OUT OF THE TROPICS. MOST
DEVELOP A LOW OVER THE NWRN CARIBBEAN SEA BY WED OR WED NIGHT. THE
LATEST GFS BRINGS A LOW CENTER INTO THE SERN GULF BY FRI MORNING AND
THEN TRACKS IT SLOWLY NEWD TO THE W CENTRAL COAST OF FL BY 12Z SUN.
ANY LOW THAT DOES COME UP WILL LIKELY BE A HYBRID. IN FACT
EXTRATROPICAL LOW DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH SEEMS EVEN
MORE LIKELY. THE GFS LOW IS FAR ENOUGH TO OUR S TO MAKE IT A
PERIPHERAL CONCERN FOR US AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, WE WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON THIS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFS HAS BEEN TRYING
TO SPIN UP LOWS IN THE TROPICS FOR SOME TIME NOW, AND IT HAS YET TO
HAPPEN. THE CAVEAT IS THAT THE UKMET, EURO AND CANADIAN HAVE BEEN
DOING THIS RECENTLY AS WELL.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
My Updates on SW Caribbean disturbance from Weather Underground.	TS2	Tue May 29 2007 07:09 AM
Re: My Updates on SW Caribbean disturbance from Weather Underground.	Hurricane29	Sun May 27 2007 09:41 PM
Re: My Updates on SW Caribbean disturbance from Weather Underground.	allan	Mon May 28 2007 09:02 AM
Re: My Updates on SW Caribbean disturbance from Weather Underground.	Storm Cooper	Tue May 29 2007 07:09 AM

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