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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 274 (Idalia) , Major: 274 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 274 (Idalia) Major: 274 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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danielwAdministrator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Area Forecast Dicussion Updates
      Sat Jun 02 2007 01:39 AM

Excerpts...
Miami NWS 919pm EDT-Friday
.UPDATE...THE EVENING MIAMI SOUNDING SHOWS 0-3 KM HELICITY OF 349.
THE LOCAL AREA IS IN THE FRONT RIGHT QUAD OF T.S. BARRY AND THIS IS THE MOST FAVORABLE QUAD FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES.
A LINE OF DISCREET VERY HEAVY SHOWERS JUST DEVELOPED OVER THE UPPER KEYS THIS PAST HOUR AND IS MOVING NORTHWARD SO WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS CAREFULLY. JUST TALKED WITH THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER AND THEY ARE GOING TO GO WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
ACROSS SOUTH FL TONIGHT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.
..GIVEN THE SHEAR PROFILES AND RADAR TRENDS. HAVE JUST UPDATED THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO REFLECT THIS SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FL. OTHER MAIN THREAT OVERNIGHT WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH IS ALREADY REFLECTED IN OUR PRODUCTS. SO NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE FCST ARE ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING. /GREGORIA
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDMFL&max=61

Tampa NWS-648pm EDT-Friday
THIS SHOULD BE MAINLY A NUISANCE TYPE STORM WITH SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS ALONG THE NATURE COAST COULD SEE UP TO 5 FEET WITH THE SURGE ON SATURDAY. SOME WIND DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS...AND DETAILS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDTBW&max=61

Tallahassee 910pm EDT-Friday
LATEST ADVISORY FROM NHC HAS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KEATON BEACH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. BARRY HAS A VERY SHEARED APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH MUCH OF THE CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE. NEVERTHELESS...A SHIP REPORT ABOUT 115 MILES WEST OF THE CENTER HAD WINDS OF 30 KNOTS. LATEST FORECAST KEEPS BARRY AS A 50 MPH TROPICAL STORM AND CALLS FOR LANDFALL NEAR HORSESHOE BEACH AROUND MIDDAY SATURDAY. WITH THE PATH OF BARRY BEING LARGELY OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF OUR CWA...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE THE FURTHER WEST YOU GO FROM THE CENTER. THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND STANDS THE GREATEST CHANCE OF GETTING TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL...BUT IF THE TRACK OF BARRY SHIFTS FURTHER EAST...THESE TOTALS WILL DECREASE.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDTAE&max=61

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/
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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Sat Jun 02 2007 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Something? Bloodstar   Mon Jun 04 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Something? ftlaudbob   Mon Jun 04 2007 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Sun Jun 03 2007 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico nc_wx_watcher   Sun Jun 03 2007 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Sun Jun 03 2007 04:51 PM
. * * Secondary Circulation ?? CoconutCandy   Sun Jun 03 2007 11:54 AM
. * * Re:Clark Rich B   Sun Jun 03 2007 11:31 AM
. * * Re:Clark Tony Cristaldi   Sat Jun 02 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico WeatherNut   Sat Jun 02 2007 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Sat Jun 02 2007 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico ChessieStorm   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Ronn   Sat Jun 02 2007 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Sat Jun 02 2007 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Sat Jun 02 2007 04:02 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Bev   Sat Jun 02 2007 03:30 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico swimaway19   Sat Jun 02 2007 03:18 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico ChessieStorm   Sat Jun 02 2007 03:07 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico swimaway19   Sat Jun 02 2007 02:57 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:52 AM
. * * Area Forecast Dicussion Updates danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:39 AM
. * * Re: Update h2ocean   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:34 AM
. * * Update danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 02 2007 01:13 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Ronn   Sat Jun 02 2007 12:34 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Sat Jun 02 2007 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico CoconutCandy   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hurricane29   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:55 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico clueless   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Rich B   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico jessiej   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico hurricane expert   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hurricane29   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico dem05   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:13 PM

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