Update From MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 125 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007 edited~danielw
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A 1011 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES NEAR 10N49W MOVING W ABOUT 15 KT. SINCE ABOUT 00 UTC THE LOW HAS DEVELOPED A SIGNIFICANT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION... AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS.
THIS TYPE OF WORDING WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE FCST. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TRACK THE SYSTEM TO THE WNW OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS... CROSSING INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT... ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WED NIGHT... THEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN THU THROUGH SAT.
AT THIS POINT... ONLY THE 12Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN TRACK A CLOSED LOW THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN... SO WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WINDS AT A MODERATE LEVEL UNTIL WE SEE MORE CONSENSUS. REGARDLESS... THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING W WITH THE LOW SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR GUSTY 20-25 KT WINDS TO SPREAD ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEK.
(This is a bit long and some of it is forecast discussion not present weather. But it's a very good wrap up of 99L~danielw) 0138 EDT
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic
Edit
Reply
Quote
