000 ABNT20 KNHC 011510 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
Just taking some excerps from this (ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT) Meaning this system wont develop and it will struggle through the carribean and just keep us antsy. as the sytem gets closer to south america the normal trough over venezuala wil rob 99L of inflow and kill it. There is a slight chance it could meangle with the old frontal zone in the gulf later this week. All in All i wouldent excpect any reall true development till early next week at the earlyest i would almost go as far as to say nothing till at least the 15th.
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CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR
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