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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 274 (Idalia) , Major: 274 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 274 (Idalia) Major: 274 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: TD4?
      Wed Aug 01 2007 04:25 PM

Well 2 areas or 3 really are somewhat worth watching..but nothing to a point of a hurricane or strong tropical storm for the next couple of days. 1st area is coming towards the lessar antilles shows a very small circulation down more near 11.5N and 58W...recon going in should find a circulation but there might a 2nd weak 1 more inline with the midlevel circulation near 13N and 58W. 50-50 chance on a upgrade...I dont know cause we need to recon report. It should stay on a west path thru its lifetime unless someway it really strengthens...then it might get steered more NW towards the Yucitan by Saturday.
Meanwhile 2nd area is a trough coming down in the N GOM... this could develop a small weak low and drift N back towards LA,MS but development will be slow if any at all.
Finally 3rd and I feel the best shot of a threat would be the same system above but having another low pressure form off SC later by Thurs or Friday. With a ridge over the SE...trough over the NW atlantic down to 70W...anything that develops would move SSW then W towards the Bahamas and east florida by Sunday into next week. I give this the better chance of a tropical system (if develops) of making a U.S. landfall if any.
scottsvb

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 01 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Random Chaos   Fri Aug 03 2007 11:13 AM
. * * Re: TD4? allan   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 01 2007 09:05 PM
. * * Re: TD4? cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2007 09:00 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 07:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Wed Aug 01 2007 07:16 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 07:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: TD4? LoisCane   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:10 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Beach   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:24 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:30 PM
. * * CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR Robert   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:30 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:29 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: TD4? weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? HCW   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:34 PM
. * * TD4? ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 31 2007 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Rich B   Tue Jul 31 2007 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. allan   Tue Jul 31 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. WeatherNut   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 11:58 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Beach   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:47 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:38 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic weather_wise911   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:00 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 04:18 AM
. * * 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 04:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. AmateurJohn   Tue Jul 31 2007 03:57 AM

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