Well 2 areas or 3 really are somewhat worth watching..but nothing to a point of a hurricane or strong tropical storm for the next couple of days. 1st area is coming towards the lessar antilles shows a very small circulation down more near 11.5N and 58W...recon going in should find a circulation but there might a 2nd weak 1 more inline with the midlevel circulation near 13N and 58W. 50-50 chance on a upgrade...I dont know cause we need to recon report. It should stay on a west path thru its lifetime unless someway it really strengthens...then it might get steered more NW towards the Yucitan by Saturday. Meanwhile 2nd area is a trough coming down in the N GOM... this could develop a small weak low and drift N back towards LA,MS but development will be slow if any at all. Finally 3rd and I feel the best shot of a threat would be the same system above but having another low pressure form off SC later by Thurs or Friday. With a ridge over the SE...trough over the NW atlantic down to 70W...anything that develops would move SSW then W towards the Bahamas and east florida by Sunday into next week. I give this the better chance of a tropical system (if develops) of making a U.S. landfall if any. scottsvb
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