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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 271 (Idalia) , Major: 271 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 271 (Idalia) Major: 271 (Idalia)
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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch
      Thu Aug 02 2007 03:27 PM

Two comments from the satellite presentations of these two systems today:
The GOM is certainly at the least a very broad elipitical area of low pressure, but there may be a little tightening up in the eastern side of that elipises, to the SW of Apalachecola. Just something to watch. The forecast is for higher pressure in the Bahamas to exert over the entire eastern gulf in the next 36 hours so this thing may get pushed on shore before it really starts.
The Carribean system is much better organized and has grown since daylight. It seems to be grabbing moisture from the SE behind it and if so that is a sure sign of development. I guess the issue with this is no clear LLC, or stacking of an LLC with the midlevel, which is what was occurring a couple of days ago. I still don't see any reason why this won't be a storm before it plays out. trajectory seems to be WNW to Central America.

--------------------
doug

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Enter August... Two Systems to Watch MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 02 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch weather_wise911   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Sat Aug 04 2007 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch nc_tropical_wx79   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:40 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:28 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch OUSHAWN   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:34 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Fri Aug 03 2007 04:30 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Clark   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 02 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch ElizabethH   Thu Aug 02 2007 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch La Nimo   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:28 PM
. * * cieldumort Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Texas Cane Tracker   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch bigbelly   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Rabbit   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:37 PM

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