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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA

Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie
Sun Aug 12 2007 08:36 AM

I know the site's official bet on 90L is 5.5 out of 10 that it develops. I'd give it 8.5. I'm not sure where it's going to get classified, but I think it's probably going to happen. GFS long range has been all over the place over the last 3 days with threat areas. It's speculated everything from a fish spinner, to coastal NC, to GA/SC, to South Florida, to the Panhandle, to New Orleans, to Houston, to Mexico (per the 06Z GFS)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/index_pcp_s_loop.shtml

Western Pacific teleconnections (TD #09) would agree with strong ridging into the SEUS 10 days down the line. That's something to watch to see if it becomes an eventual hit on Taiwan or the Chinese mainland (telegraphing downstream ridging 7-10 days in the West Atlantic).

https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0907.gif

Gonna be an interesting few weeks. I completely agree with Clark and other mets who beileve that once this season gets going, it's going to be fast and furious.

FWIW, Accuweather's 8/07 video update said they were still calling for 6 U.S. landfalls (4 canes - 1 or 2 major, 2 Tropical Storms). We haven't seen much yet, so if those guys are right, 2007 will be remembered for a long time to come much like 2002, 2004 and 2005 have been thus far in the decade.

Steve

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MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:36 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Mon Aug 13 2007 09:36 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	allan	Mon Aug 13 2007 08:45 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	madmumbler	Mon Aug 13 2007 07:43 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	cieldumort	Mon Aug 13 2007 04:19 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Hugh	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:38 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:26 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Old Sailor	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:05 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:01 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:52 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:24 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	weather_wise911	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:54 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	nc_tropical_wx79	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:44 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Lee-Delray	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:31 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Cooper	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	hurricaneguy	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:26 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:19 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 04:29 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 03:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 12:44 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:59 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Ron Basso	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:46 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:07 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Steve	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:36 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 12 2007 02:12 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sat Aug 11 2007 11:45 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	West FL Jess	Sat Aug 11 2007 10:48 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Clark	Sat Aug 11 2007 10:46 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Beaumont, TX	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:30 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Old Sailor	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:16 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	HCW	Sat Aug 11 2007 04:48 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	stormchazer	Sat Aug 11 2007 04:47 PM

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