Quote: Hmm, there may be a weakness toward the end of the run in the ridge, the latest GFDL model run isn't all that great for those in the Gulf, hopefully that isn't a trend.
It seems the Lesser Antilles may get more storm than they bargained for, however. I'm still thinking intensity is underestimated right now.
Mike, I was just looking at this run of the GFDL. After a few runs it is seeing some kind of weakness in the ridge and it's a terrible situational thought for me here in New Orleans. They have a 160 mph, CAT 5 bomb in a eerily similar position as Katrina and moving in a similar direction.
I would be throwing up if it wasn't so far out and the models weren't flip flopping so badly.
I am attaching a pic for those who want to see.
-------------------- I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!