Quote: What are your opinions of the ridge thats moving into the Gulf? How strong will it be and how long will it continue to keep Felix on a westerly track?
I refer you to post #77637 in "Tropical Depression #6 Forms East of Caribbean"
The southern routes are the most likely. But, this is not absolute, either, anomalies relative to anomalies happen occasionally. But for now, I think this is just like what took place with Dean when it, too, was in this lat/lon. There was all kinds of tough-to-refute reasons why it would turn N... But, there is an on-going anomally in the global atmospheric angular momentum, that is predominently negative -- particularly at these lower latitudes, which correlates to longitudinal bias, not recurvers.
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