The positive factors for development I really didn't mention before are the fact that there is a rather strong low level circulation, and the Dvorak T numbers actually support a tropical system now. But it still is incredibly sheared. Thankfully Recon will be out there soon enough to help make that determination.
The shearing, exposed center, and water vapor satellite loops show a huge negative for development, and that's why it's about 33%. Right now I don't think much of 99L. Tomorrow, however..
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Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas
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