As to your first question, I don't know. I don't know if anybody really does have a solid answer on that except to say that maybe there has been a lot of vertical shear inhibiting development of some of these. Also, several have just formed so close to land, that they didn't have a big opportunity for intensification.
Your second question: Karen, while in some warm water and has enough fuel, is facing some very large challenges with an approaching trough and a lot of shearing winds. Those winds shear the tops off the clouds and inhibit convection from firing around the Low Level Center. It will likely intensify to Category 1 strength, but then encounters 3-4 days of shear and that will knock it back down to Tropical Storm Strength and maybe eventually kill it in the Atlantic maritime. I don't think there's anything solid on it dissipating, but there is a greater chance it never re-gains hurricane status.
-------------------- Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net
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Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico
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