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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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scottsvb
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Loc: fl
Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall
      Fri Sep 28 2007 02:02 PM

reason she went NNE is cause a passing weak shortwave went by. with her moving inline with the shear in the mid-levels she got into a brief less hospitable shear. She should resume a WNW direction. Difficult to see if she will survive the shear...she needs to get past 65W by Monday...shear will start to decrease and she might be a threat..but if she pulses and maintains some sort of organization..she might get pulled more N and then NE with the trough but not as a hurricane..just as a organized weak TS sheared system..(like now). Time will tell.

Area that is forecasted to form over the southern Bahamas will be simular to TD 13..more in the mid and upper levels and a weak LLC.....it could become a TS but simular to 13....hard to tell if anything at all.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Melissa Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 28 2007 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Saturday Afternoon Model Discussion excerpts TampaRand   Sun Sep 30 2007 01:50 AM
. * * Saturday Afternoon Model Discussion excerpts danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 29 2007 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Melissa Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall weathernet   Sat Sep 29 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall Clark   Fri Sep 28 2007 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall allan   Fri Sep 28 2007 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 28 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall allan   Fri Sep 28 2007 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall scottsvb   Fri Sep 28 2007 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall Ed in Va   Fri Sep 28 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 28 2007 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall metwannabe   Fri Sep 28 2007 11:48 AM

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