Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199531 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995


Today marks the start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season. Atlantic Outlooks also begin today.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 590 (Milton), US Major: 590 (Milton), FL Any: 590 (Milton), FL Major: 590 (Milton)
FlHurricane Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracking 🌀 Since 1995
None
HypeScale:
0.10
0510
Communication
Storm Data
Content
Follow & Connect
Facebook   Twitter/X 🌎 National Hurricane Center
Login to remove ads
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

saluki
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 57
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
Crazy, wacky CMC
      Sun Oct 07 2007 10:54 AM

My questions are addressed to those with expertise in how the forecast models are formulated.

It appears the CMC once again is forecasting a major storm -- last night's run shows 94L blowing up, moving over Havana and poised to strike the southern tip of Florida in six days. I've now officially lost count of how many major hurricane landfalls this model has forecast this year.

So, I'm curious -- what is it in the CMC's methodology that leads to such aggressive forecasting? And, given how consistently prone the CMC is to overdevelopment, does this model have any credibility in the meteorological world?

The scenario laid out by the CMC for 94L certainly is plausible for early/mid-October, but there's a tendency to say, "Well, it's only the CMC."

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Crazy, wacky CMC saluki Sun Oct 07 2007 10:54 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 5918

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center