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Tropical Storm Fernand becomes the sixth name to form at approx 25% of the way through a typical full season. Watching #99L very closely as well. #TropicalStormFernand
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 318 (Milton) , Major: 318 (Milton) Florida - Any: 318 (Milton) Major: 318 (Milton)
TS Fernand
ADV#2 11:00 pm EDT
28.8N 61.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
Nne at 16 mph
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2591
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic.
      Sat Oct 20 2007 05:32 PM

Shear has really picked back up since I posted. Sort of looks like there may be something of an extratropical vort forming in the middle, but currently not lowest layers, around 25N 86W. The trof draped up through the western Caribbean is creating a good deal of pressure drops, deep convection, and wind, but little if any turning at the surface. The wave mentioned by Ed a couple of days ago is holding on, with diffluence provided by a nearby ULL enhancing its convection, but nothing able to take at the surface. Back to looking a lot more like mid-late November, again. Now watch something pop tonight now that I've written this

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* Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. cieldumort Sat Oct 20 2007 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. allan   Sat Oct 20 2007 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. cieldumort   Sat Oct 20 2007 05:32 PM

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