Quote: Yes that was a very atypical day...looks like some cool dry air filterd in over the top of warm moist air at the surface and we had some instability...which seems to be east of the peninsula today...looking out side today also has that summery look and feel to it...more of the same?
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY 12Z RAOB DATA SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS (LI ~-9C) AND RATHER COLD TEMPERATURES (-13.3C AT 500MB) ALOFT. WEAKER WINDS VIA RAOB DATA SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FASTER ONSET TO THE EAST/WEST COAST SEA BREEZES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY GIVEN THE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RATHER STEEP LAPSE RATES. IN ADDITION A WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING STORMS...SO SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
The local forcast discussion would lead one to believe we get a second round today, however, in my experience the 'next' day after an unusual event (and one not adequately forcast) is usually not nearly the same. Too hard to get the 'exact' same atmospheric conditions from one day to the next. They WILL tend to forcast the same, just to cover themselves, though. This gets me wondering about the season to come as odd weather is usually NOT isolated for a season....no solid proof of it, but it SEEMS that way.
-------------------- If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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