New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
556 (Milton),
US Major:
556 (Milton),
FL Any:
556 (Milton),
FL Major:
556 (Milton)
Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 392
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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Re: SSTs revisited
Wed Apr 02 2008 01:20 PM
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Quote:
Yes that was a very atypical day...looks like some cool dry air filterd in over the top of warm moist air at the surface and we had some instability...which seems to be east of the peninsula today...looking out side today also has that summery look and feel to it...more of the same?
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY 12Z RAOB DATA SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS (LI ~-9C)
AND RATHER COLD TEMPERATURES (-13.3C AT 500MB) ALOFT. WEAKER WINDS VIA
RAOB DATA SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FASTER ONSET TO THE EAST/WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY
GIVEN THE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RATHER STEEP LAPSE RATES. IN
ADDITION A WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING STORMS...SO SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
The local forcast discussion would lead one to believe we get a second round today, however, in my experience the 'next' day after an unusual event (and one not adequately forcast) is usually not nearly the same. Too hard to get the 'exact' same atmospheric conditions from one day to the next. They WILL tend to forcast the same, just to cover themselves, though. This gets me wondering about the season to come as odd weather is usually NOT isolated for a season....no solid proof of it, but it SEEMS that way.
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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