Well, May 2008 is now "in the books". Could South Florida be in the crosshairs of a Hurricane landfall this year?
Now that May has passed and preliminary data for May rainfall shows how little rain we received here in S. Florida, I thought to re-visit a previously discussed observation ( and discussion thread ). According to Jim Lushine of NWS Miami, a study of his, has revealed a potential link between rainfall in May and probability of hurricane activity for South Florida:
Exerpt:
"Plotting 75 years worth of May rainfall data, Lushine found the probability of a hurricane striking South Florida ALMOST TRIPLED after a very DRY May. Conversely, the chances of a hurricane striking South Florida after a wet May were three times less."
NWS data for May 2008 Miami, Fl. - 3.81" below normal Ft. Laud. Fl - 4.00" below normal W. Palm Beach, Fl - 2.97" below normal Naples, Fl. - 3.87" below normal Tampa, Fl. - 2.12" below normal
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Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals
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