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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

danielwAdministrator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: GOM SSTs
      Wed Jun 25 2008 04:43 PM

Quote:

Daniel, if the seas are trending warmer for this season, and all other factors being equal to other years, do you think that this makes it more likely that the number of storms would be higher, that the intensity of storms would be higher, or both?




Warmer SSTs could lead to more intense Tropical Cyclones. Emphasis on 'could'.
There is some certainty on the intensification(s) of Tropical Cyclones over warm core eddies and the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current. The most recent references being Katrina and Rita of the 2005 season.

Watching the SSTs provides subtle indications of where a storm 'might' intensify in the GOM.
Another of the SST parameters is the depth of the warm waters. I believe they call it the 26 C isotherm.
I'll try to find some links.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Still Quiet in the Tropics MikeCAdministrator Wed Jun 25 2008 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L- July 1 Steve H1   Tue Jul 01 2008 06:15 PM
. * * Invest 92L- July 1 danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2008 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics tropics   Tue Jul 01 2008 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2008 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 30 2008 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics LoisCane   Mon Jun 30 2008 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics rmbjoe1954   Mon Jun 30 2008 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics allan   Mon Jun 30 2008 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics DarleneCane   Sat Jun 28 2008 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Sat Jun 28 2008 07:59 AM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Thu Jun 26 2008 05:38 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 25 2008 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 25 2008 01:06 AM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs islandtime   Tue Jun 24 2008 08:39 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs lawgator1   Tue Jun 24 2008 07:20 PM
. * * GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Tue Jun 24 2008 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Tue Jun 24 2008 03:15 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Beach   Mon Jun 23 2008 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Mon Jun 23 2008 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Mon Jun 23 2008 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics dem05   Mon Jun 23 2008 06:39 AM
. * * Re: Bay of Campeche Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Hurricane29   Sun Jun 22 2008 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 03:28 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 21 2008 05:07 PM

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