SST is just marginally warm- besides, this time of the year the Saharan air layer presents itself literally pulling the plug on precepitation. It makes for dirty cars in south Florida. That wave presents itself pretty well on the map- but can it traverse in the open waters and become an item of interest next week? Stay tuned.
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard