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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
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Posts: 576

Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands
Thu Jul 03 2008 11:35 PM

After a typical diurnal drop off in convection during the day today (Thursday), Bertha seems to have developed a fairly tightly compact and robust circulation core this evening. Nocturnal phase of development may be underway. Current satellite takes on the appearance of CDO - though it is less likely that is the case for the time being. TPC seems to agree with intensification overall, per their 11pm advisory/discussion, and the intensity has been raised to 40kts.

Her vitals are unchanged. She will remain in a low shear environment for at least the next 2-3 days, after which some increased shear may or may not significantly impact her. She has only marginal SSTs to work with at 25C, which is a limiting factor on any thinking for rapid intensification. We really like to see a minimum 82F SST and significantly deep thermocline (water temperature decreases with increasing depth) combined with low shear and a noticeable positive anomaly in the outflow (perhaps a channel); none of which is really observable at this time in that part of the Atlantic. This is probably why they are a bit more conservative on development than some of the tropical models are forecasting.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	MikeC	Thu Jul 03 2008 11:35 PM
Hurricane Bertha	John C	Mon Jul 07 2008 06:44 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	cieldumort	Mon Jul 07 2008 03:15 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	LDH892	Mon Jul 07 2008 02:05 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	Hugh	Sun Jul 06 2008 09:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 06 2008 09:23 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	Hugh	Sun Jul 06 2008 08:56 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	LoisCane	Sun Jul 06 2008 08:13 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	Hugh	Sun Jul 06 2008 06:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	cieldumort	Sun Jul 06 2008 05:56 PM
Re: Bertha intensifying	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 06 2008 05:02 PM
Re: Bertha intensifying	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 06 2008 04:56 PM
Re: Bertha intensifying	weatherguy08	Sun Jul 06 2008 04:49 PM
Re: Bertha intensifying	Hugh	Sun Jul 06 2008 04:44 PM
Bertha intensifying	craigm	Sun Jul 06 2008 04:33 PM
Re: Accuweather	Genesis	Sun Jul 06 2008 04:17 PM
Re: Accuweather	Hugh	Sun Jul 06 2008 03:40 PM
Re: Accuweather	LDH892	Sun Jul 06 2008 02:21 PM
Re: Accuweather	scottsvb	Sun Jul 06 2008 02:02 PM
Re: Accuweather	WeatherNut	Sun Jul 06 2008 01:57 PM
Accuweather	craigm	Sun Jul 06 2008 01:17 PM
Central Atlantic...Sunday	danielw	Sun Jul 06 2008 10:19 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	scottsvb	Sat Jul 05 2008 11:01 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	weatherguy08	Sat Jul 05 2008 09:25 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 05 2008 09:17 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	hurricaneguy	Sat Jul 05 2008 08:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 05 2008 04:59 PM
Re: Bertha... Status Quo?	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 05 2008 10:41 AM
Re: Bertha... Status Quo?	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Jul 05 2008 10:32 AM
Re: Bertha... Status Quo?	flanewscameraman	Sat Jul 05 2008 10:21 AM
Re: Bertha... Status Quo?	craigm	Sat Jul 05 2008 10:04 AM
Re: Bertha... Status Quo?	DarleneCane	Sat Jul 05 2008 09:19 AM
Bertha... Status Quo?	danielw	Fri Jul 04 2008 09:41 PM
Re: Bertha strengthening?	LoisCane	Fri Jul 04 2008 07:54 PM
Bertha strengthening?	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jul 04 2008 02:55 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	cieldumort	Fri Jul 04 2008 03:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands	typhoon_tip	Thu Jul 03 2008 11:35 PM
Re: Surprising Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis	MichaelA	Thu Jul 03 2008 12:49 PM
Re: Surprising Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis	JustMe	Thu Jul 03 2008 11:01 AM
Surprisingly Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis	CoconutCandy	Thu Jul 03 2008 10:56 AM
Re: Watching Systems in the Eastern Caribbean and Far East Atlantic	cieldumort	Thu Jul 03 2008 04:27 AM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	Random Chaos	Wed Jul 02 2008 11:27 PM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	Hugh	Wed Jul 02 2008 10:00 PM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	Random Chaos	Wed Jul 02 2008 07:40 PM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	Lee-Delray	Wed Jul 02 2008 05:09 PM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	Rich B	Wed Jul 02 2008 04:49 PM
Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic	cieldumort	Wed Jul 02 2008 04:38 PM

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