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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

The CLIPER Forecast Model
Wed Jul 09 2008 03:57 PM

From Wikipedia:

CLIPER (CLImatology and PERsistence) is a 3-day statistical model (CLIPER5 is a 5-day version of the same model). It uses the current path of a tropical cyclone and an average of historical paths of similar cyclones to come up with a track, and is considered a "no-skill" model. Curiously, until the late 1980s, this was actually the most accurate model. Forecast skill is determined by comparing forecasts against this model.

Cheers,
ED

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
The CLIPER Forecast Model	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 09 2008 03:57 PM
Re: Major Hurricane Bertha Now Moving Northwest	craigm	Wed Jul 09 2008 11:19 AM

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