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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 308 (Idalia) , Major: 308 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 308 (Idalia) Major: 308 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#20 4:00 pm EDT
17.1N 76.1W
Wind: 145MPH
Pres: 954mb
Moving:
Wnw at 18 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
The CLIPER Forecast Model
      Wed Jul 09 2008 03:57 PM

From Wikipedia:

CLIPER (CLImatology and PERsistence) is a 3-day statistical model (CLIPER5 is a 5-day version of the same model). It uses the current path of a tropical cyclone and an average of historical paths of similar cyclones to come up with a track, and is considered a "no-skill" model. Curiously, until the late 1980s, this was actually the most accurate model. Forecast skill is determined by comparing forecasts against this model.

Cheers,
ED

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* The CLIPER Forecast Model Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Jul 09 2008 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Bertha Now Moving Northwest craigm   Wed Jul 09 2008 11:19 AM

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