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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2307
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things
Mon Jul 14 2008 04:18 PM

No argument in the expectation of 94L most likely becoming a TD within 48 hours, and perhaps as early as later today.

Near term (over the next 48 hours) there are some obstacles which could hold 94L back from becoming more than a low-end TS.. in the near term.. (over the next 48 hours)... and probably will most have to do with the dry air which exists just to the W-NW-N of the system, dry air that has already been a little entrained into the broader circulation when the overnight convective burst went out.

What exists now is a banding ring of convection around the northern and southern halves. Within this ring, dry air is squelching any significant convection from growing back over the feeble LLC. Eventually, as the embryonic cyclone continues to produce yet more convection, this dry air should slowly mix out, but this might not happen soon enough, as the eastern Caribbean awaits, which could prove to be a harsh blend of unfortunate timing. Time will tell. Odds favor 94L beating this and coming out the winner, however.

On some of the upsides, 94L has an apparent anticyclone aloft, with outflow fairly well established all around. Shear remains low, and SSTs continue to go up along its future path over the next several days.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Bertha Near Bermuda, Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	Ed Dunham	Mon Jul 14 2008 04:18 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Tue Jul 15 2008 07:58 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Tue Jul 15 2008 06:41 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Tue Jul 15 2008 04:57 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Tue Jul 15 2008 03:49 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	weathernet	Tue Jul 15 2008 03:40 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Tue Jul 15 2008 03:39 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Tue Jul 15 2008 12:22 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Tue Jul 15 2008 12:13 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Tue Jul 15 2008 12:07 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Tue Jul 15 2008 12:03 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:54 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:41 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:41 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:20 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:10 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:55 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MichaelA	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:23 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	xxflcyclonexx	Mon Jul 14 2008 09:12 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	doug	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:57 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:52 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	CDMOrlando	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:23 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:54 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:52 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	lawgator	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:51 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:10 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	xxflcyclonexx	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:57 PM
Re: Bertha Near Bermuda, Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 04:53 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Mon Jul 14 2008 04:29 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 04:18 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Cat 5orBust	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:11 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	doug	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:06 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:58 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:51 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:20 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Sophie	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:04 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:39 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Wingman51	Mon Jul 14 2008 12:45 PM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:35 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 09:10 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 09:03 AM
Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:47 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Clark	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:14 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	weathernet	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:43 AM
Bertha, 94L and the Bahamas	danielw	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:40 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:38 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:33 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:25 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:56 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:04 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	craigm	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:01 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:51 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:30 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:09 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	hurricaneguy	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:02 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:39 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:27 AM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:59 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:48 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:40 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:36 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:18 PM
Cristobal - "The Wave"	weathernet	Sun Jul 13 2008 09:58 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	LoisCane	Sun Jul 13 2008 09:45 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 06:01 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Rich B	Sun Jul 13 2008 06:01 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:52 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:48 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:36 PM
Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:18 PM
Re: trifecta	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 04:01 PM
Re: trifecta	scottsvb	Sun Jul 13 2008 02:39 PM
Re: trifecta	LoisCane	Sun Jul 13 2008 02:39 PM
trifecta	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 13 2008 01:41 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	stormchazer	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:23 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 12 2008 11:37 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	Sophie	Sat Jul 12 2008 10:18 PM

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