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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast
      Thu Jul 17 2008 06:47 PM

If this were August, Sept. , or October, I'd be a little more bullish on faster development with this low off the N. Florida coast. If steering was weaker and it could buy more time, i'd think it might be the most likely prospect for development. As for 94L, seems arc clouds shooting out to its west and northwest, and I see nothing of a circulation. That said, and including newly designated 96L, I still think that the best near term chance for any development, may come from what will be some ugly conglomeration of what remains in the W. Caribbean in the next couple of days.

Lots of sputtering systems, but no development; and yet we need to remind ourselves that this is "July". Am simply impressed at the appearant ease of so many systems even trying to spin up. Where convective consistantcy and organization has been an issue, we are seeing some pretty impressive waves, most of which are having little trouble at least trying to develop some low to mid level rotation.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression MikeCAdministrator Thu Jul 17 2008 06:47 PM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew DarleneCane   Sat Jul 19 2008 08:36 AM
. * * 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 19 2008 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression wxman007   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression cieldumort   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression Hugh   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression DMFischer   Fri Jul 18 2008 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression Random Chaos   Fri Jul 18 2008 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression jessiej   Fri Jul 18 2008 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression metwannabe   Fri Jul 18 2008 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Georgia Low Forming into Tropical Depression weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 08:26 PM
. * * Advisories on 96L may be started by 11 cieldumort   Fri Jul 18 2008 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Hugh   Fri Jul 18 2008 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 18 2008 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean CANELURKER   Fri Jul 18 2008 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean zacros   Fri Jul 18 2008 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Mar32366   Fri Jul 18 2008 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean doug   Fri Jul 18 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean doug   Fri Jul 18 2008 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Robert   Fri Jul 18 2008 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean craigm   Fri Jul 18 2008 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean craigm   Fri Jul 18 2008 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 18 2008 01:21 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean cchsweatherman   Fri Jul 18 2008 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Rich B   Fri Jul 18 2008 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean cieldumort   Fri Jul 18 2008 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Fri Jul 18 2008 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean zacros   Fri Jul 18 2008 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean WeatherNut   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) LoisCane   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) zacros   Fri Jul 18 2008 08:57 AM
. * * Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) Wingman51   Fri Jul 18 2008 08:24 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast scottsvb   Thu Jul 17 2008 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 17 2008 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast Ed in Va   Thu Jul 17 2008 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast cieldumort   Thu Jul 17 2008 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast weathernet   Thu Jul 17 2008 06:47 PM

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