Atlantic is mostly quiet again for now
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
545 (Milton),
US Major:
545 (Milton),
FL Any:
545 (Milton),
FL Major:
545 (Milton)
weathernet
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
|
90L Forms S.W. of Cape Verde Islands
Sat Aug 02 2008 10:09 AM
|
|
|
As of this morning, 90L has now been officially classified. Looks to be in a far better environment than its northerly sister, 99L. As of 12Z this morning the initial classification puts 90L at 11.5N and 27.7W. Movement towards the West and pressure initialized at 1009mb
The early statistical forecast is rather "bullish", with the 24 hour SHIPS model bringing winds right up to tropical storm strength ( 34knots - approx. 40mph. ) and the 24 hour BAMD takes it too 11.5N and 36.3W. Going way out there, the 120hr. forecast naturally has some spread in their respective tracks, with the deep layer BAM at 14.8N and 69.1W, with the shallow layer BAM much farther north around 24N. SHIPS intensity model at 120hr brings 90L up to a hurricane, at 69 Knots. Of course its way early on this one yet, but given the light shear and warmer SST's ahead, along with what the early signs of this season have already shown, i'd probably bet the .75 cents in my left pocket on development here.
Longer term? Geez, I think I need some coffee before I look at that much data this Sat. morn. Anyway, better to see if 90L persists through the day, just to see if later model data has a chance to even know its there.
|
|
0 registered and 27 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
|
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
|
Rating:
Thread views: 5941
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: This is
NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who
donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the
National Hurricane Center