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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master

Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl

Re: Ramp Up in Activity
Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM

I'll be kinda brief on this, but I have seen this year the models after 72hrs been off on strength of a system this year, especially the GFS. Tracks have done well, but time after time again we see a hurricane in 96-144hrs and it doesnt happen or its delayed. Eduardo was a exception but also home grown and the models probably had a better idea on something forming closer to home.

Until we get a TD, I wouldnt say or think how strong a system will be. After 72hrs module runs seem to change dramatically in strength a system might get, they might of shown a hurriane in 96 hrs but almost nothing 2 runs later.

Right now with 92L, it may never develop into more than a weak TS if at all due to dry air! Same with 93 L as dry air gets between the 2 systems. I think 92ls chance is better after 5 days in the S.E Bahamas., but dont believe the models strength after 72hrs.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Ramp Up in Activity	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	scottsvb	Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	cieldumort	Mon Aug 11 2008 01:08 AM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	LoisCane	Mon Aug 11 2008 12:39 AM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 10 2008 11:17 PM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	spinup	Sun Aug 10 2008 10:03 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 10 2008 08:16 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	danielw	Sun Aug 10 2008 06:33 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	cieldumort	Sun Aug 10 2008 06:19 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	craigm	Sun Aug 10 2008 05:50 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	Hugh	Sun Aug 10 2008 04:26 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	ltpat228	Sun Aug 10 2008 04:21 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	rmbjoe1954	Sun Aug 10 2008 04:14 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 10 2008 02:47 PM
Re: Say hey Fay (time to play)	Mike V	Sun Aug 10 2008 02:29 PM
Say hey Fay (time to play)	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 10 2008 01:20 PM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 10 2008 12:52 PM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	craigm	Sun Aug 10 2008 12:34 PM
Re: Ramp Up in Activity	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 10 2008 12:18 PM

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