Quote: I'm going to stick my neck out a bit and and say this is the COC (not an eye). It will be interesting to see what happens over open water. See attached
It isn't. In fact, you can pretty clearly see the LLC exposed right now on visible.
I don't expect it to stay exposed that long as convection appears to be trying to wrap itself around the LLC from the blob of convection that Fay was generating over the Caribbean coast of Hispañola.
-------------------- Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005