I wanna ask, How much weight does the UKMET have to the others? It seems like that one and the LBAR are the biggest outlier from the others.
I am in South Florida and with the tracks from the NHC it kinda worries me that the UKMET has it swinging that far west.
Why does all of the models show a loop and the NHC shows a straight WNW to NW turn. Is this a dart throwing from the NHC or are they on to something about the track?
Sorry I am a novice at forecasting and I find it fascinating on the different tracks from run to run.