Brent, I see what you mean about the loops. It looks like many of them have loop, which the NHC is disregarding. I'm no expert, but as a several year lurker, I notice the LBAR is always an outlier. The GFDL seems to be more reliable, and the BAM ones kindof out there, but not as much as LBAR. Would everyone agree with that? I think that since the NHC knows the strengths and weaknesses of each model, they know which ones to account for given certain situations.
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