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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West
      Thu Sep 04 2008 09:35 AM

Good Morning: The vertical shear mentioned in the 5:00 a.m. discussion concerning IKE appears in the WV as the western side of the envelope is flattening, and occasional indications of a N-S shear is visible. The direction remains WNW, and the center well established in side the core.
Clark's input from several hours ago seems to be born out so far. Hanna will have little effect on creating enough of a weakness over the SE US to really influence the solution in 5 days, or less if IKE does not slow down . There is just no way to accurately forecast the strength of the upper high building NW of the system, but by all appearances now, based on the visible evidence of its effect on the structure of IKE today, it may be pretty strong. If so, based on NHC assumptions implied in the 5:00 a. m. discussion, that would mitigate toward a more westward and southern solution. Lets hope not!

--------------------
doug

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 04 2008 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West kromdog   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West LoisCane   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Hugh   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Lee-Delray   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West MissouriHurricane2008   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Random Chaos   Thu Sep 04 2008 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Lee-Delray   Thu Sep 04 2008 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West LoisCane   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West craigm   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Raymond   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Random Chaos   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West LoisCane   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West starwise   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West banks305   Thu Sep 04 2008 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Clark   Thu Sep 04 2008 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West cieldumort   Thu Sep 04 2008 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West PFSThunder   Thu Sep 04 2008 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West MissBecky   Thu Sep 04 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Humanriff   Thu Sep 04 2008 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West doug   Thu Sep 04 2008 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Raymond   Thu Sep 04 2008 07:18 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West cieldumort   Thu Sep 04 2008 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Clark   Thu Sep 04 2008 03:06 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West Clark   Thu Sep 04 2008 03:02 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West scottsvb   Thu Sep 04 2008 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 04 2008 02:10 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West charlottefl   Thu Sep 04 2008 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Moving North, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West berrywr   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West JoshuaK   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Sheeper   Wed Sep 03 2008 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Random Chaos   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West kromdog   Wed Sep 03 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Random Chaos   Wed Sep 03 2008 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West jessiej   Wed Sep 03 2008 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 03 2008 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Storm Cooper   Wed Sep 03 2008 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West TheElNino1   Wed Sep 03 2008 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West crpeavley   Wed Sep 03 2008 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Raymond   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West doug   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Beach   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West doug   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West doug   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West KimKeyWest   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Raymond   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West ftlaudbob   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West kromdog   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Ed in Va   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Raymond   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West ftlaudbob   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 03 2008 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West catadjuster   Wed Sep 03 2008 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Still Stalled, Ike Moving West LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 08:22 AM

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