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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
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hogrunr
Weather Guru


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Posts: 153
Loc: Spring, TX
Tropical Wave picked up by several models
      Wed Jun 24 2009 12:20 PM

There is a tropical wave that is coming off the coast of Africa that is picked up by a couple of the latest models. Of course GFS is predicting development, I would expect that because of it's pre-mature nature. NGP is picking it up as well as ECMWF, these two aren't as fast on development at GFS.

Of course this is still way out there, but is worth keeping an eye on, as it could be the first long term development of the Atlantic season.

GFS (picks up the wave at 60 hrs and shows development at 96 hrs)

ECMWF (wave leaves African coast at 96 hrs and begins slow development...much slower than GFS)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Wave picked up by several models hogrunr Wed Jun 24 2009 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Henri Forms East of the Caribbean saltysenior   Sat Oct 17 2009 11:09 AM

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