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Invests 92L and 93L in the Atlantic. Invest 93C in the Central Pacific may pose a very serious threat to Hawaii later this week.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 670 (Milton), US Major: 670 (Milton), FL Any: 670 (Milton), FL Major: 670 (Milton)

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CoconutCandy
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Loc: Beautiful Honolulu Hawaii

Tropical Storm BLANCA Forms in Eastern Pacific
Mon Jul 06 2009 12:30 PM

After a long pause and one promising invest that didn't quite make it, the EastPac has finally spun up a tropical storm.

After consolidating and organizing nicely yesterday the usual overnight flareup produced lots of bursting convection very near the LLCC, leading to the beginnings of a nice Central Dense Overcast (CDO), usually a harbinger of further intensification.

So the short term expectation is some strengthening, perhaps more than is officially forecast, especially if the SHIPS has the better handle on the situation.

But in the mid to long term, cooler SST's and lower oceanic heat content should preclude further strengthening and will ultimately lead to steady weakening.

So it's unlikely that 'Blanca' will become a major hurricane, if it becomes a hurricane at all.

All in all, though, it appears that the Pacific activity is picking up, with a very active ITCZ and several strong waves.

Stay tuned for further developments ...

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Tropical Storm BLANCA Forms in Eastern Pacific	CoconutCandy	Mon Jul 06 2009 12:30 PM

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