Quote: The lifting on the windward side of the island is the major concern determining rainfall. It won't be "pretty" at all. I'd expect flash flooding and slides.
Agreed. WFO Honolulu seems to think so too. Here's the point forecast for Hilo from Monday-Wednesday:
Monday : Frequent showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 78. North wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 3 and 4 inches possible.
Monday Night: Frequent showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 71. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 23 mph becoming north between 36 and 39 mph. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts in excess of 4 inches possible.
Tuesday: Frequent showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 80. East wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday Night: Occasional showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 73. East wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday: Showers likely. The rain could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
They seem pretty confident this system's moisture plume is gonna produce lots of rain.
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