Well, I'd done all this math to come up with a statistical reason for my prediction and I think I forgot to hit post. But here we go Tropical and Subtropical Depressions - 21 Tropical and Subtropical Storms - 19 Hurricanes - 10 Major Hurricanes - 5
Where did these numbers come from? by taking the most active of the 4 out of last 6 years and averaging out the totals and then adjusting by one, depending on my feelings of verisimilitude for my numbers.
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
U. Arizona PhD Student