As you may know, Tropical Storm 'Agatha' came ashore near the Guatamala/Mexico border and quickly dissipated as a tropical cyclone, but not before taking a dozen lives, due to flash flooding and mudslides.
The remnant circulation of ex-Agatha, in the form of a surface trough, is now draped across Central America and extending NE-ward towards Cuba.
The area of greatest 'positive vorticity' within this surface trough has, within the past few hours, seemingly exited it's overland trek and now appears to be located in the Gulf of Honduras. Recent IR satellite imagery is revealing a large blowup of convection in this area, and should this intense convection continue throughout the day, it wouldn't surprise me if the TPC and NHC begins to make note of it in their Tropical Weather Outlook and/or Discussions.
The latest model runs I've seen while 'Agatha' was still a Depression fell into 2 general camps, with one camp tracking it across southern Florida and the other, more grim possibility, taking it up into the Notherhern GOM, certainly not a scenerio that anyone would like to see, considering the ecocrisis currently unfolding there.
Let's hope and pray that, should this system 'regenerate', it gives South Florida a nice drink as stays well away from the Northern Gulf.
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Re: Tropical Storm 'Agatha' Forms in the EastPac
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